Writing on the PoliSciZurich site, the founders of politikprognosen.ch, Olivier Strijbis, Sveinung Arnesen, Kjetil Thuen, Kjetil Thuen, Lucas Rachow discuss the performance of their prediction market around the Ballot of March 11th.
Some of their predictions were accurate and some less so. The authors come up with some interesting explanations as to why this was.